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For most European Union countries the government expenditure exceeds government revenue which could lead in the long run to an increase in the government debt to GDP ratio. Considering the distortions generated by the financial and economic crisis, followed by the debt crisis, both local and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199903
We identify investor moral hazard in the German fiscal federation. Our identification strategy is based on a variable, which was used by the German Federal Constitutional Court as an indicator to determine eligibility of two German states (Länder) to a bail-out, the interest payments-to-revenue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991148
Expectations of risky bond payments are unobservable and recovery rates for sovereigns are hard to estimate because they have no contractual claims to defined assets and samples of defaults are limited. A geometric version of credit spread is used to derive expected payments, dependent on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012307696
For almost a century, we document a significant January effect on the French equity market. We find strong evidences in favor of the tax-loss selling explanation for this phenomenon. Indeed, the January effect was insignificant before the introduction of a “confiscatory tax” on capital gains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954905
Under the classical gold standard (1880-1914), the Bank of France maintained a stable discount rate while the Bank of …, differ so much? How did the Bank of France manage to keep a stable rate and continuously violate the “rules of the game …”? This paper tackles these questions and shows that the domestic asset portfolio of the Bank of France played a crucial role …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045945
This paper extends the work of Kaminsky and Schmukler (2003) to the Baltic and Central Eastern European future Member States of the European Union, to test if the same short-run increase in cyclical volatility arising from financial integration is observed in this specific sample of ?emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295650
We identify investor moral hazard in the German fiscal federation. Our identification strategy is based on a variable, which was used by the German Federal Constitutional Court as an indicator to determine eligibility of two German states (Länder) to a bail-out, the interest payments-to-revenue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295844
This paper attempts to assess the Europe-wide systemic risk in banking. We employ a bivariate GARCH model to estimate conditional correlations between European bank stock indices. These correlations are used as an indication for the interdependencies amongst the banking business in Europe and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298129
) from one that goes through increased default probabilities. Using developing country data from the period 1973-1981 and … constructing continuous variables for credit history, we find that past default is a significant determinant of the spread, even … future default are substantial determinants of sovereign bank loan spreads. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322423
I investigate the effect of transparency on the borrowing costs of Emerging Markets Economies. Transparency is measured by whether or not the countries publish the IMF Article IV Staff report and the Reports on the Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSC). Using difference-in-difference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308569