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postwar US macroeconomic data can be explained as the outcome of passive monetary policy, indeterminacy, and sunspot … windows and allowing the parameters to fall both in the determinacy and indeterminacy regions. The estimates reveal large … the sample. The results confirm that macroeconomic data in the early windows are better explained by indeterminacy, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012200338
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293489
This paper studies the importance of money for inflation in the euro area. An inflation equation is derived from a … small model that combines the supply and demand for money with a Phillips curve and the assumption that inflation … expectations develop adaptively. The model's solution attributes an impact on inflation not to actual money growth but to its core …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295663
We study the effects of globalisation on the slope of the New Keynesian Phillips curve for CPI inflation, based on a … generally has a significant positive effect on inflation, but that this effect decreases as integration in the global economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012653311
We study the effects of professionals’ survey-based inflation expectations on inflation for a large number of 36 OECD … economies, using dynamic cross-country panel estimation of New-Keynesian Phillips curves. We find that inflation expectations … have a significantly positive effect on inflation. We also find that the effect of inflation expectations on inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697141
Inflation dynamics have been difficult to explain over the last decade. This paper explores if a more comprehensive … treatment of globalization can help. CPI inflation has become more synchronized around the world since the 2008 crisis, but core … and wage inflation have become less synchronized. Global factors (including commodity prices, world slack, exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225141
Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic … growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the … reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230450
estate, as well as the costs of public goods to develop alternative inflation measures in Germany since the introduction of … the euro. Real economic growth as well as median wage developments are reexamined in light of the alternative inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291889
The popularity of inflation targeting has risen in the last decade and the number of countries that adopted inflation … targeting as their monetary policy framework surpassed 40 by the end of 2016. This study analyzes whether inflation targeting … around the world has been successful in terms of achieving the announced target and keeping inflation rate around it. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016727
This paper analyses the effects of the foreign exchange re-serves accumulation on the key nominal and real macroeconomicvariables (GDP, employment, prices and exchange rates) in BRICcountries (Brazil, Russia, India, China). VAR model was used toempirically examine the effect of accumulation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014566381