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Why are some people more optimistic about their life than others? Literature on locus of control suggests that optimism is associated with the belief that one's life outcomes are controlled by internal factors, such as ability, instead of external factors, such as powerful others or chance....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266644
learning about the nature of these deviations. Under constrained discretion, only short deviations occur, agents' uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011560575
We show that professional soccer players exhibit reference-dependent behavior during matches. Controlling for the state of the match and for unobserved heterogeneity, we show on a minute-by-minute basis that a player breaches the rules of the game, measured by the referee's assignment of cards,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316909
We show that professional soccer players exhibit reference-dependent behavior during matches. Controlling for the state of the match and for unobserved heterogeneity, we show on a minute-by-minute basis that a player breaches the rules of the game, measured by the referee's assignment of cards,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282066
Using a unique data set of individual professional forecasts, we document disagreement about the future path of monetary policy, particularly at longer horizons. The stark differences in short rate forecasts imply strong disagreement about the risk-return trade-off of longer-term bonds....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249767
minorities, are highly heterogeneous in their expectations of inflation. We estimate a model of inflation expectations based on … learning from experience that also allows for heterogeneity in both private information and updating. Our model vastly … outperforms existing models of inflation expectations in explaining the heterogeneity in the data. We find that women, ethnic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287086
The paper considers a New Keynesian framework in which agents form expectations based on a combination of mis …-specified forecasts and myopia. The proposed expectations formation process is found to be consistent with all three empirical facts on … paper then derives the general equilibrium solution consistent with the proposed expectations formation process and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013299210
This paper develops a specification of the credit scoring model with high discriminatory power to analyze data on loans at the retail banking market. Parametric and non- parametric approaches are employed to produce three models using logistic regression (parametric) and one model using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265990
This paper develops a specification of the credit scoring model with high discriminatory power to analyze data on loans at the retail banking market. Parametric and non- parametric approaches are employed to produce three models using logistic regression (parametric) and one model using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003910674
We survey the literature on estimating risk preferences using field data. We concentrate our attention on studies in which risk preferences are the focal object and estimating their structure is the core enterprise. We review a number of models of risk preferences — including both expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935670