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The contribution of this paper is twofold. First, we introduce a daily vector autoregression (VAR) model for the US economy that allows discerning between lockdown shocks and a real business cycle shocks. With this methodology at hand, we then evaluate the impact of lockdown measures on economic...
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We examine stock market risk surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic at the industry level. We find that low-beta industries … experienced a significant increase in relative risk at the worst possible time. Shocks to market beta were not accompanied by … offsetting changes in loadings on other factors, suggesting that risk didn’t merely shift from one factor to another. The risk …
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