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The recent fears of a sovereign debt crisis have spurred interest in the sustainability of public debt. There are two different approaches to the assessment of sustainability: the use of sustainability gap indicators (Blanchard et al., 1990) and the time series approach (Trehan and Walsh, 1988)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535101
I use a time-varying parameter model in order to study the predictability of monthly real stock returns in Germany over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260497
Depression in the United States. Germany experienced a recovery as fast and strong in the 1930s. What role did inflation … Germany across two different methods: we conduct a narrative study of media sources and estimate inflation expectations from a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159651
Empirical work studying the industry life cycle highlights the role of knowledge in various forms on the durations firms survive in the industry. This research leaves open the influence of historical events, which are reflected in macroeconomic factors like income, inflation, exports and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011802890
1950. In an ex post evaluation, the HP filter with smoothing factor 20 performs well for Germany, and precisely fulfils the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014307295
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012423742
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012171953
Recent theoretical models suggest that the costs governments face when defaulting on their domestic and external debt may differ considerably. This paper examines if this proposed cost difference is reflected in sovereign risk spreads across domestic and foreign markets. Specifically, I analyze...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320163
This paper shows that geographical investor heterogeneity strongly influences sovereign risk. While standard sovereign debt models mainly attribute the absence of sovereign defaults to foreign creditor retaliation, a new theoretical literature argues that domestic creditors also affect borrowing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281261
This chapter presents historical evidence about Swedish stock prices, dividends, and yields on government fixed-interest securities. Monthly returns are presented since 1901 for stocks, since 1874 for government long-term bonds and since 1856 for short-term Treasury bills or central bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010360953