This was the first paper to study exclusively the effects of Ramadan on the United Arab Emirates Stock market. In doing so, the study aims to establish such impacts with the intention of advising the investors on whether it would be profitable to invest during the holy month of Ramadan or no.The...

This paper revisits the performance of frequently used risk forecasting methods, such as the Value-at-Risk models. The aim is to analyze its performance, and mitigate its pitfalls by incorporating conditional variance estimates, as generated by a GARCH model. Notably, this paper tests several...

We examine in this paper the training and test set performance of several equity factor models with a dataset of 20 years of data, 1,200 stocks and 100 factors. First, we examine several models to forecast expected returns, which can be used as baselines for more complex models: linear...

Hedge Fund returns are often highly serially correlated mainly due to illiquidity exposures given that investments in such securities tend to be inactively traded and associated market prices are not always readily available. Following that, observed returns of such alternative investments tend...

Using Gretl, I apply ARMA, Vector ARMA, VAR, state-space model with a Kalman filter, transfer-function and intervention models, unit root tests, cointegration test, volatility models (ARCH, GARCH, ARCH-M, GARCH-M, Taylor-Schwert GARCH, GJR, TARCH, NARCH, APARCH, EGARCH) to analyze quarterly time...

This paper investigates the relationship between asset markets and business cycles with regard to the U.S. economy. We consider the Goldman Sachs approach (2003) developed to study the dynamics of financial balances. By means of a small econometric model we find that asset market dynamics are...

Most developing and underdeveloped countries beside Sudan suffer from low levels of income in addition to the low savings that are result from the lack of sophisticated savings channels. Hence, investments depend on the individuals' abilities on savings where they are major motivating vehicle...

This paper presents an interesting analysis of the role of financial development in boosting domestic investment of a country. The findings of the paper show that the responsiveness of investment to developments in the financial sector is conditional on the investment climate already in place....

This paper presents an interesting analysis of the role of financial development in boosting domestic investment of a country. The findings of the paper show that the responsiveness of investment to developments in the financial sector is conditional on the investment climate already in place....