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, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of … the unemployment rate in the VAR model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
Using a New Keynesian Phillips curve, we document the rapid and persistent increase in the natural rate of unemployment … unemployment gaps. Through the lens of the model, the 2022-23 disinflation was driven by the expectation that the unemployment gap … will close through a progressive decline in 𝑢𝑡 ∗ and a rise in the unemployment rate. This implies that convergence to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501075
in their unemployment rate and not a decline in labour force participation rate. Policymakers should take account of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
unemployment. Moreover, the wage sweep-ups caused by nominal rigidity are strongly correlated with unemployment suggesting that … downward rigidity of nominal wages indeed contributes to unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321298
unemployment. This link becomes more evident when wage inflation is disaggregated at sectoral and occupational levels. Using … exogenous variations in local market unemployment as the main identification strategy, a negative correlation between vacancy …-level wage and unemployment is also established. The correlation magnitude, however, is different across regions and skill …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012255418
We set up and estimate a structural unobserved components open economy model for the rate of unemployment and the real … factors. Thus, the results indicate that the dramatic changes in the Swedish unemployment rate during the 1990s mainly was a … inflation is found to be quite sensitive to the unemployment gap. An increase in cyclical unemployment by 1 percentage point …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583137
; equilibrium unemployment ; inflation target ; Phillips curve ; Lucas critique ; Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009746167
supply and observed unemployment rate. Our approach to labour market in the New Keynesian DSGE model follows papers of Galí … the labour supply preference shock) and use the results to explain the evolution of unemployment in the period of 1999–2011 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085543
This paper analyzes the effects of nominal wage rigidity on inflation persistence and unemployment using a dynamic … open economy, allowing to simultaneously introduce nominal wage rigidity and unemployment in the labor market. Our main … provides estimates of the nominal wage rigidity implications on unemployment. Indeed, in a context of wage rigidity, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233389
A labor matching model with nominal rigidities can match short-run movements in labor's share with some success. However, it cannot explain much of the behavior of employment, vacancies, and job flows in postwar US data without resorting to additional shocks beyond monetary policy and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265220