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The Value at Risk of a portfolio differs from the sum of the Values at Risk of the portfolio's components. In this … paper, we analyze the problem of how a single economic risk figure for the Value at Risk of a hypothetical portfolio … portfolio. We assume a reduced-form model and neglect the effects of a potential bankruptcy of one of the banks. We analyze …
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. Out-of-sample forecast and portfolio exercise further shows the superior forecasting performance of the EHEAVY model, in …
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