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During the global financial crisis, stressed market conditions led to skyrocketing corporate bond spreads that could not be explained by conventional modeling approaches. This paper builds on this observation and sheds light on time-variations in the relationship between systematic risk factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898459
We provide a historical perspective focusing on Ziemba's experiences and research on the bond-stock earnings yield differential model (BSEYD) starting from when he first used it in Japan in 1988 through to the present in 2014. The model has called many but not all crashes. Those called have high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057068
This study employs the Vector Autoregressive-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (VAR-AGARCH) model to examine both return and volatility spillovers from the USA (developed) and China (Emerging) towards eight emerging Asian stock markets during the full sample period, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388066
This study uses the BEKK-GARCH model to examine the return-and-volatility spillover between the world-leading markets (USA and China) and four emerging Latin American stock markets over the global financial crisis of 2008 and the crash of the Chinese stock market of 2015. Regarding return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309325
This paper provides global evidence supporting the hypothesis that expected return models are enhanced by the inclusion of variables that describe the evolution of book-to-market-changes in book value, changes in price, and net share issues. This conclusion is supported using data representing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022063
During the global financial crisis, stressed market conditions led to skyrocketing corporate bond spreads that could not be explained by conventional modeling approaches. This paper builds on this observation and sheds light on time-variations in the relationship between systematic risk factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011855295
The correlation between stock and bond returns is a cornerstone of asset allocation decisions. The correlation can move considerably over time, which can have a large impact on portfolio construction. Our empirical evidence points to inflation and real returns on short-term bonds, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349506
This research paper aims to investigate the profitability of five popular variations of moving averages: simple (also referred to as arithmetic), exponential, triangular, variable, and weighted as the main tool of technical analysis on the end of the day data on Indian market index S&P CNX Nifty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029270
We use a quantile-based measure of conditional skewness (or asymmetry) that is robust to outliers and therefore particularly suited for recalcitrant series such as emerging market returns. Our study is on the following portfolio returns: developed markets, emerging markets, the world, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009566
Financial integration is one of the buzz words in financial world. The co movement of share prices across the stock markets in the world is a frequently experienced phenomenon. Especially during the times of crisis it is observed that the stock markets crash together. The oil crisis of 1973, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131103