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and economic growth. We make use of a Johansen-based panel cointegration methodology allowing for cross-country dependence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010223077
:Q4). Long Run Granger Causality Test, Johansen's Cointegration Test (both Bivariate & Multivariate) and Vector Error … for all the macroeconomic variables. Johansen's Cointegration results suggest presence of long run equilibrium … difference in cointegration results in pre and post crisis periods except for Inflation and Interest rate, implying that global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995658
This study investigates the stock price-economic activity nexus in 12 member countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) by employing monthly data over the period 1981:1-2018:3. For this purpose, the study uses Granger causality in the frequency domain in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429266
Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039605
cointegration to estimate the long-run relationship between G7 stock prices and macroeconomic variables over the last 40 years. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179569
empirical analysis. We undertake; Unit root (ADF, PP and KPSS) tests, Granger Causality test, Engle-Granger Cointegration test …-Granger residual based cointegration test suggests that there is a long-run relationship between the stock market performance and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973920
Beaudry and Portier (2006) provide support for the "news view" of the business cycle, using a vector error correction model. We show that this result hinges on a cointegrating relationship between TFP and stock prices that is not stationary, thus making the estimates not reliable. If we alter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181050
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013553475
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009674900
A large part of the current debate on US stock price behavior concentrates on the question of whether stock prices are driven by fundamentals or by non-fundamental factors. In this paper we put forward the hypothesis that a present value model with time-varying expected returns provides an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503717