multi-period forecasting model that is estimated under both adaptive learning and rational expectations. Term structure … neglected in the adaptive learning literature. Relative to the rational expectations version, our estimated DSGE model under … adaptive learning largely improves the model fit to the data, which include not just macroeconomic data but also the yield …

We estimate a New-Keynesian macro-finance model of the yield curve incorporating learning by private agents with … prices of risk are important features of the data. These features are, therefore, included in our learning model. The model … is estimated on U.S. data using Bayesian techniques. The learning model succeeds in explaining the yield curve movements …

Learning or experience curves are widely used to estimate cost functions in manufacturing modeling. They have recently … shows that there is a fundamental statistical identification problem in trying to separate learning from exogenous … technological change and that the estimated learning coefficient will generally be biased upwards. Second, we present two empirical …

This paper provides evidence that learning about demand is an important driver of firms' dynamics. We present a simple … model with Bayesian learning in which firms are uncertain about their idiosyncratic demand parameter in each of the markets … their beliefs following a new demand shock, the younger they are. To test this learning mechanism, we make use of a specific …