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We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
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The estimation of the volatility with high-frequency data is plagued by the presence of microstructure noise, which … integrated volatility but also of the spot volatility; (iii) we show the relevance of the estimator in the prediction of the … variance of the cost of a simulated VWAP execution. Overall we find that, for the integrated volatility, the pre …
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We evaluate the informational content of the open limit order book by studying its role in explaining the volatility of … the efficient price. We separate transitory (liquidity-driven) volatility from informational (efficient price …-related) volatility using a dynamic state-space co-integration model for ask and bid quotes. Consistently with Foucault, Moinas, and …
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