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In this paper, we study the evolution of inflation expectations for two key emerging economies, Brazil and Turkey … survey-based inflation expectations and inflation targets set by the central banks of Brazil and Turkey with the predictions … inflation expectations are anchored more closely the inflation target set by the Central Bank for Brazil. By contrast, there is …
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In this work, a Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) with time-varying betas is considered. These betas evolve over time, conditional on financial and non-financial variables. Indeed, the model proposed by Adrian and Franzoni (2009) is adapted to assess the behavior of some selected Brazilian...
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This paper applies the Holston-Laubach-Williams methodology to estimate the natural rate of interest for Brazil. …
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The Global Financial Crisis established that policymakers should consider the stage of the financial cycle to better evaluate the cyclical position of the economy when designing monetary policy decisions. If financial variables are omitted from the estimations of the output gap, a common and...
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