Showing 1 - 10 of 6,069
and cointegration tests for federal revenues and expenditures, taking into account a structural shift in the budgetary … process related to World War II. We find sustainability over the entire period. However, splitting the sample into two sub …-samples before and after World War II, the results do much less support sustainability. Finally, applying the tax smoothing model of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261429
analysis, we conduct formal tests on fiscal sustainability, including tests on stationarity and cointegration and the … debt crisis has prompted a fundamental re-evaluation of public debt sustainability and the looming threat of sovereign debt …'s peacetime debt-to-GDP (Gross Domestic Product) ratio has never been higher. In this paper, we analyse the sustainability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009709423
debt crisis has prompted a fundamental re‐evaluation of public debt sustainability and the looming threat of sovereign debt …'s peacetime debt‐to‐GDP (Gross Domestic Product) ratio has never been higher. In this paper, we analyse the sustainability of … anecdotal his‐torical analysis, we conduct formal tests on fiscal sustainability, including tests on stationarity and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085753
This paper describes and quantifies fiscal risk in advanced and developing economies. Forecast errors in GDP growth explain nearly half of fiscal risk in advanced economies. However, errors in growth forecasts are less important in explaining fiscal risk in low- and middle-income countries. Most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392426
This paper investigates whether fiscal fatigue is a robust characteristic of the fiscal reaction function in a panel of OECD countries over the period 1970-2014 or merely an artifact of ignoring important aspects of the panel dimension of the data. More specifically, we test whether the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011656142
In this paper we analyze the sustainability of public finances in the states (Laender) of the Federal Republic of … and 1991 to 2011 for East German Laender, respectively. In order to assess the fiscal sustainability of the (Laender) we …-run relation between expenditures and revenues in a cointegration analysis within each Land. The results provide evidence against …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388609
This paper provides evidence that most German states (Laender) have unsustainable public finances by exploiting a newly compiled database covering the years 1950‐2011. Although the Laender are closely intertwined we are the first to apply “second generation” panel techniques that control...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011404634
We analyze the sustainability of public finances in the 16 states (Laender) of the Federal Republic of Germany using an … explore their long‐run relation in cointegration analyses for each Land we extend the existing literature. The results provide … evidence against strict fiscal sustainability in a majority of German Laender. A notable exception to this finding is Bavaria. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011404648
This paper provides new evidence on the sustainability of public finances in German states (Laender) by exploiting a … newly compiled database covering the years 1950 - 2011. Unlike previous studies on Germany, we analyze fiscal sustainability … by applying "gsecond generation" panel cointegration techniques. A unique identification strategy for the selection of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388585
primary balance. The sustainability exercise also showed that fiscal policy is sustainable. However, it is found that this … sustainability was not a result of appropriate fiscal policy. While factors outside of the Governments control worsened the primary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012298406