Many studies documented that actual asset-price movements exhibit momentum and reversion to fundamentals. We study real estate markets and find that households' subjective house-price expectations capture momentum but not reversion to fundamentals. Moreover, if current house prices are deviated...

If mortgage borrowers default strategically, their future house price expectations should affect their present mortgage default decisions. Merging the Freddie Mac loan performance dataset with the Michigan Survey of Consumers data containing households' subjective expectations, this paper...