This paper checks for validity of the residual income model of Ohlson (1995) for the companies listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand between 1992 and 2015. In particular, we test whether there is long-run relationship between market value, book value and residual incomes. Using standard...

This paper studies return predictability in federal funds futures. I show that over the period 1990 to 2018, predictor variables from the literature do not consistently outperform the expectations hypothesis when evaluated out-of-sample. Further, while forecasts from advanced forecasting methods...

In this paper, we apply the Capital Depreciation Model to the estimation of office building scale in 35 major cities. The result shows that the China office market shows an average 40% increase in scale in the past 10 years. Economic growth is the key factors influence the office building price,...

We propose a nonparametric method to test which characteristics provide independent information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...

We compare several representative sophisticated model averaging and variable selection techniques of forecasting stock returns. When estimated traditionally, our results confirm that the simple combination of individual predictors is superior. However, sophisticated models improve dramatically...

This study develops an empirical algorithm within which the incentive for signaling of private information in course of IPOs is implemented as a conditional, as opposed to an unconditional incentive. Suppose high quality issuers of IPOs signal private information, and suppose presence of cohorts...

This paper demonstrates that a conditional version of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) explains the cross section of expected returns, just as well as the three factor model of Fama and French. This is achieved by measuring beta (systematic risk) with short-, medium- and long-run...

Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models are found in consequence of heteroskedasticity problem in financial time series. In our study, we find that returns of the Istanbul Stock Exchange Food And Beverage Index have an ARCH effect but they have not a unit root problem according to...

We propose a nonparametric method to study which characteristics provide incremental information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...

How strong has been the effect of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) on systemic risk in sovereign bond markets? Was the increase in credit spreads relative to triple-A benchmarks which followed the GFC the result of higher sovereign default risk or the result of a re-pricing that reflected...