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Nowcasting tail risks to economic activity with many indicators
Carriero, Andrea; Clark, Todd E.; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388077
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Forecasting industrial production in Germany : the predictive power of leading indicators
Schlösser, Alexander - 2020
We investigate the predictive power of several leading indicators in order to forecast industrial production in Germany. In addition, we compare their predictive performance with variables from two competing categories, namely macroeconomic and financial variables. The predictive power within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149544
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Media attention vs. sentiment as drivers of conditional volatility predictions : an application to Brexit
Guidolin, Massimo; Pedio, Manuela - 2020
coverage or tone to provide the largest forecasting performance improvements in the prediction of the conditional variance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487265
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Forecasting US economic growth in downturns using cross-country data
Lyu, Yifei; Nie, Jun; Yang, Shu-Kuei X. - In: Economics letters 198 (2021), pp. 1-5
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605756
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Forecasting economic activity using the yield curve : quasi-real-time applications for New Zealand, Australia and the US
Henry, Todd; Phillips, Peter C. B. - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012322385
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Nowcasting and forecasting GDP in emerging markets using global financial and macroeconomic diffusion indexes
Cepni, Oguzhan; Güney, Ethem; Swanson, Norman R. - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 2, pp. 555-572
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300700
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Should forecasters use real-time data to evaluate leading indicator models for GDP prediction? : German evidence
Heinisch, Katja; Scheufele, Rolf - 2017
-time and final data releases differ, we also observe minimal impacts on the relative forecasting performance of indicator …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011595370
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Rationality of announcements, business cycle asymmetry, and predictability of revisions : the case of French GDP
Mogliani, Matteo; Ferrière, Thomas - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578405
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A real economic activity indicator for Turkey
Aruoba, S. Borağan; Sarikaya, Cagri - In: Central Bank review / The Central Bank of the Republic … 13 (2013) 1, pp. 15-29
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340433
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Real-time GDP forecasting for Japan : a dynamic factor model approach
Urasawa, Satoshi - In: Journal of the Japanese and international economies : … 34 (2014), pp. 116-134
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010475484