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We elaborate economic explanations for the time-varying risk of month, quarter and year base load electricity forward contracts traded on the Nord Pool Energy Exchange from January 2006 to March 2010. Daily risk quantities are generated by decomposing realized volatility in its continuous and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008989697
We propose a nonparametric Bayesian approach for the estimation of the pricing kernel. Historical stock returns and option market data are combined through the Dirichlet Process (DP) to construct an option-adjusted physical measure. The precision parameter of the DP process is calibrated to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506354
The International Maritime Exchange (IMAREX) is the leading regulated marketplace for trading and clearing shipping freight derivatives. We investigate for the first time whether the IMAREX freight futures market is efficient over daily and weekly horizons. To this end, we address the question...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133709
The International Maritime Exchange (IMAREX) is the leading regulated marketplace for trading and clearing shipping freight derivatives. We investigate for the first time whether the IMAREX freight futures market is efficient over daily and weekly horizons. To this end, we address the question...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118072
This research aims to revisit the price discovery relationship between spot and futures prices of Indian equity index S&P CNX Nifty, using neural network approach. This study uses minute-by-minute prices of 167 trading days ranging from January, 2015 to August, 2015 to gain fresh insights on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001717
This paper analyzes structured products with a focus on the Swiss market. Empirical results for these products' five major categories are presented, along with case studies and a general discussion. The paper addresses three main questions: How did structured products perform in the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004531
Divergence in investor beliefs is an important driver of the negative relation between option trading volume and future stock returns. We find a strong negative relation between disagreement-based option trades and future stock returns, and this relation is markedly amplified when the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851265
We show how specific features of the microstructure information from VPIN and DPIN can volatile the futures market and can link with the price discover and investor sentiment. We develop an investor (institutional, noise, and both) sentiment index for the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 (SSE 50)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862315
The objective of this paper is to analyze what are the main determinants of the exchange rate risk premium (ERP). The empirical case is conducted for the daily Mexican peso-USD exchange rate for a sample period from 2007 until 2015. According to the results the ERP is influenced by several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496736
In a tractable stochastic volatility model, we identify the price of the smile as the price of the unspanned risks traded in SPX option markets. The price of the smile reflects two persistent volatility and skewness risks, which imply a downward sloping term structure of low-frequency variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412294