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In this study a regime switching approach is applied to estimate the chartist and fundamentalist (c&f) exchange rate model originally proposed by Frankel and Froot (1986). The c&f model is tested against alternative regime switching specifications applying likelihood ratio tests. Nested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765353
We identify a global risk factor in the cross-section of implied volatility returns in currency markets. A zero …-cost strategy that buys forward volatility agreements with downward sloping implied volatility curves and sells those with upward … slopes - volatility carry strategy - generates significant excess returns. The covariation with volatility carry returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902489
A simple two period, two country model is used to show that profit seeking speculation can destabilize exchange rates, a fact that has important implications toward international financial policy. Stable exchange rates may require use of government regulation and/or taxation to prevent the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997702
Many currencies, especially those of countries with negative net foreign assets, tend to depreciate during times of financial turbulence. Using a panel of 26 currencies over the period 1/1997 - 6/2016, I show that the composition of net foreign assets matter for the exchange rate sensitivity to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011926196
-a-vis four other currencies. The impact of exogenous variables in modelling volatility is considered using both the GARCH (1 … indicate that the majority of the parameters are significant and that volatility is quite persistent. Furthermore, the results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011661515
The dynamic effects of ECB announcements, disentangled into pure monetary policy and central bank information shocks, on the euro (EUR) exchange rate are examined using a Bayesian Proxy Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model fed with high-frequency data. Contractionary monetary policy shocks result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180641
assessments on different sub-periods and exchange rate volatility effect on pass-through are also provided. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398366
We estimate a multivariate unobserved components-stochastic volatility model to explain the dynamics of a panel of six …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326550
exchange rate persistence in the presence of interest rate smoothing. A high volatility of the exchange rate turns out to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010437790
We revisit medium- to long-run exchange rate determination, focusing on the role of international investment positions. To do so, we make use of a new econometric framework accounting for conditional long-run homogeneity in heterogeneous dynamic panel data models. In particular, in our model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414236