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We identify a global risk factor in the cross-section of implied volatility returns in currency markets. A zero …-cost strategy that buys forward volatility agreements with downward sloping implied volatility curves and sells those with upward … slopes - volatility carry strategy - generates significant excess returns. The covariation with volatility carry returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902489
The use of GARCH models with stable Paretian innovations in financial modeling has been recently suggested in the literature. This class of processes is attractive because it allows for conditional skewness and leptokurtosis of financial returns without ruling out normality. This contribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765347
We apply the Realized GARCH model in the foreign exchange market. With daily data, we find that the Realized GARCH model has better in-sample and out-of-sample performances than a standard GARCH or IGARCH model. On the other hand, GARCH gives better forecasts of conditional variances if weekly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046415
This paper proposes structured parametrizations for multivariate volatility models, which use spatial weight matrices … models as well as for Stochastic- and Realized-Volatility models. The paper also discusses how to construct spatial weight …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012719984
In many multivariate volatility models, the number of parameters increases faster than the cross-section dimension …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095932
In this paper, we review the most common specifications of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models and … indices and foreign exchange rates. -- Stochastic volatility ; Markov chain Monte Carlo ; Metropolis-Hastings algorithm Jump …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770817
by estimating the intermittency parameter and forecasting of volatility for a sample of financial data from stock and … foreign exchange markets. -- Random Lognormal cascades ; GMM estimation ; best linear forecasting ; volatility of financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009389845
This paper investigates persistence in high-frequency, intraday data (and also daily and monthly ones) in the case of the EuroStoxx 50 futures over the period from 2002 to 2018 (720 million trade records) using R/S analysis and the Hurst exponent as a measure of persistence. The results indicate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013419363
In this study a regime switching approach is applied to estimate the chartist and fundamentalist (c&f) exchange rate model originally proposed by Frankel and Froot (1986). The c&f model is tested against alternative regime switching specifications applying likelihood ratio tests. Nested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765353
This paper examines the cross section of options implied volatility and corporate bond returns. We document a strong … predictive ability of corporate bond returns using changes in call and put options implied volatility. Specifically, a strategy … of buying (selling) the portfolio with lowest (highest) changes in options implied volatility yields an average monthly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039862