We investigate the dynamic problem of how much attention an investor should pay to news in order to learn about stock-return predictability and maximize expected lifetime utility. We show that the optimal amount of attention is U-shaped in the return predictor, increasing with both uncertainty...

The IRR (dollar-weighted return) reflects the periodic addition or withdrawal of funds by investors, and the difference between IRR and geometric mean is widely used to indicate the impact that the timing of these flows has had on investor returns. This is a biased measure, since it is also...

We compare the stock return forecasting performance of alternative payout yields. The net payout yield produces more accurate forecasts relative to alternatives, including the traditional dividend yield. This remains true even after excluding several years during the Great Depression when...

We introduce a portfolio friction in a two-country DSGE model where investors face a constant probability to make new portfolio decisions. The friction leads to a more gradual portfolio adjustment to shocks and a weaker portfolio response to changes in expected excess returns. We apply the model...

This paper examines the use of private information by mutual funds with unconditional and conditional performance models. Using daily data for 35 countries over the 1990-2015 period, we find evidence that the use of conditioning information provides a more accurate estimation of fund...

We find that global time series carry strategies (across bonds, commodities, currencies, equities and metals) can be explained by a set of lagged macroeconomic variables. The payoffs to carry strategies disappear once futures returns are adjusted for their predictability based on these...

We propose a new measure of investor disagreement based on thirty-nine factors from the return-predicting anomaly literature. Consistent with theoretical work on volume, we show that a one standard deviation change in anomaly-based disagreement is associated with a 16.7% higher turnover in the...