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which depending on the market states signaled by the level of volatility spread. We have documented that effectively, there … capital. We then propose the volatility spread as the active management factor into the Carhart's model used to evaluate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012146691
liquid instrument suffers from liquidity shocks that induce periods of increased volatility and significant return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523414
Using high-frequency intraday data, we construct, test and model seven new realized volatility estimators for six … international equity indices. We detect jumps in these estimators, construct the jump components of volatility and perform various … effects of jumps on volatility. Our results expand and complement the previous literature on the nonparametric realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029279
leverage effect and the volatility feedback effect. We stress the importance of distinguishing between realized volatility and … implied volatility, and find that implied volatilities are essential for assessing the volatility feedback effect. The … leverage hypothesis asserts that return shocks lead to changes in conditional volatility, while the volatility feedback effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128856
We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
importance of foreign shocks in explaining inflation volatility has become more important in the last twenty years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149108
-form Hermite series expansion for a stochastic volatility model with the stochastic variance process driven by an affine drift term …. We implement the methodology for the Heston and the mean-reverting CEV stochastic volatility models. A calibration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932715
Purpose - This paper aims to explore the extreme effect of crude oil price fluctuations and its volatility on the …. Findings - The paper can summarize results as following: changes in oil price and its volatility have an opposite effect for … each oil-export and oil-import countries; for the former, changes in oil prices have a positive impact but the volatility a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444687
We apply the Realized GARCH model in the foreign exchange market. With daily data, we find that the Realized GARCH model has better in-sample and out-of-sample performances than a standard GARCH or IGARCH model. On the other hand, GARCH gives better forecasts of conditional variances if weekly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046415
This paper examines the steady state properties of the Threshold Vector Autoregressive model. Assuming that the trigger variable is exogenous and the regime process follows a Bernoulli distribution, necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of stationary distribution are derived. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913405