Showing 1 - 10 of 3,079
the first and the second conditional moments. To reveal long run price discovery we compute the common factor weights … futures market to be the leader of the long run price discovery process whereas a bidirectional short run causality structure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003902551
In this paper, we investigate the impact of demographic uncertainty in a multi-regional general equilibrium, overlapping generations model (INGENUE 2). Specifically, we will consider the level of uncertainty in each of the ten major regions of the world, and their correlation across regions. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137282
Motivated by stylized facts pointing to a dominant role of imported inputs in transmitting external price shocks to … approach constructs effective input price indices from sector-level price data combined with sector-level information on input …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996091
, supply and inventory shocks. We document how gas price fluctuations have a heterogeneous pass-through to euro area prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490358
In this paper, we study the short-run and long-run comovement between prices and real activity in the G7 countries during the postwar period using vector autoregressive systems and frequency-domain filters. We find several patterns that are robust across countries and time periods. Typically,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327530
periods characterized by sustainable linear trends in the difference between the headline consumer price index (CPI) and the … the evolution of motor fuel price (a subcategory of the consumer price index of transportation) relative to the core CPI … as a linear function of time. Under our framework, all price deviations from this linear trend are transient and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027558
In this paper, we study the short-run and long-run comovement between prices and real activity in the G7 countries during the postwar period using VAR forecast errors and frequency domain filters. We find several patterns of the correlation coefficients that are robust across countries and time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014103852
the high-frequency EUA price dynamics are very well captured by a fractionally integrated asymmetric power GARCH process … economic development as well as the current economic activity. -- EU ETS ; EUA ; Announcement Effects ; Price Formation ; Long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003977656
). Since its launch, the corresponding price has shown rather turbulent dynamics, including nervous reactions to policy … announcements and a price collapse after a visible over-allocation in Phase I. As a consequence, the question whether fundamental … factors (fossil fuel prices, economic activity, weather) affect the EUA price remained partially unresolved. Today, being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008660570
We develop an information risk measure (ECIN) based on the price discovery of large trades. As the price series of … large trades and small trades are cointegrated, the price discovery of trades can be easily estimated via the vector error …-correction model (VECM). Intuitively, we use the VECM to study how a temporary gap between the large trade price and the small trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133794