I document a systematic bias in the assessment of comovement: individuals assess a moderate relationship between two variables regardless of the actual strength of the relationship between them. In a survey of finance professionals, participant-assessed betas of different financial and...

This paper shows that productivity shocks to the 100 largest U.S. firms (by revenue) contain systematic information. Specifically, shocks to the top-100 firms predict future shocks to geographically close firms. Intra-sector trade links are an important economic channel for spillover effects....

Using computational linguistic techniques, we build an investor sentiment indicator extracted from the content of the electronic French press specialized in Financial and economic news for companies of the CAC40 index. We test the relationship between this indicator and abnormal returns...

There has been growing literature on trading volume and overconfidence bias in the stock market. The common phenomenon in global financial markets is high trading volume and the most prominent explanation for this excess trading is overconfidence bias. This paper attempts to examine whether...

We employ a dataset of Europe-wide-sold and US-sold equity mutual funds to investigate how flows of assets relate to past performance in the past decade and a half. We show that the flow-performance relationship changes in time and differs in Europe and US. We find that the typical for the US,...

We compare several representative sophisticated model averaging and variable selection techniques of forecasting stock returns. When estimated traditionally, our results confirm that the simple combination of individual predictors is superior. However, sophisticated models improve dramatically...

Do bond issuers successfully time the market? To answer this question, we compare market conditions on an issue day with conditions on days in a window around the issue day. We find that compared with windows of 21 days around issue days, bond issuers time the risk-free rate better than pure...

Using a large sample of U.S. individuals, we show that individuals with higher levels of trust have lower likelihoods of default in household debt and higher net worth. The effect is driven by trust values inherited from cultural and family backgrounds more than by trust beliefs about others. We...

Although Capital Asset Pricing Model is very convenient for estimating the Cost of Capital for long-term investments, it requires the determination and use of a value for the equity risk premium (ERP). Using Prospect Theory introduced by Kahneman and Tversky and assuming a Brownian motion for...

In this paper, we incorporate a technical analysis strategy of the Greek Stock Market. These are the strategies used by most professionals and significant players in the field of investment analysis on the Greek market. Data were collected from most of the investment companies in Greece. The...