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We present an arbitrage-free affine term structure model that jointly prices U.S. Treasury bonds, S&P 500 dividend … accurate decompositions of discount rates into risk free rates, inter est rate and dividend risk premiums. Our model is able to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869632
their dynamics. Using the model, we price dividend strips of the aggregate market index, as well as any other well …-diversified equity portfolio. We do not use any dividend strips data in the estimation of the model; however, model-implied equity yields … generated by the model match closely the equity yields from the traded dividend forwards reported in the literature. Our model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250137
We show that the term structure of dividend risk premia and discount rates implied by equity strip yields are downward ….S., Europe, and Japan. Our results are based on the estimation of a regimeswitching dividend growth model, which allows us to … conflict with the new data on dividend strips. In fact, we show that the standard asset pricing models extended with regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823515
curve from market dividend futures, we aggregate equity yields of individual firms over the market. This approach allows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244601
tradeoff between market and reinvestment risk explains this pattern. Intuitively, while long-term dividend claims are highly … exposed to market risk, they are also good hedges for reinvestment risk because dividend prices rise as expected returns … long maturities, inducing relatively low risk premia on long-term dividend claims. The model is also consistent with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963382
We study fluctuations in stock prices using a framework derived from the present value model augmented with a macroeconomic factor. The fundamental value is derived as the expected present discounted value of broad dividends that include, in addition to traditional cash dividends, other payouts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555939
We study fluctuations in stock prices using a framework derived from the present value model augmented with a macroeconomic factor. The fundamental value is derived as the expected present discounted value of broad dividends that include, in addition to traditional cash dividends, other payouts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119302
Even in large equity markets, the dividend-price ratio is significantly related with the growth of future dividends. In … with within-year seasonality. We reduce the effect of price volatility on the dividend-price ratio by applying a simple … smoothing technique, and we identify the component of the smoothed dividend-price ratio that offers predictive power. An …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006710
I study a novel data set of short-term dividend futures contracts for individual stocks. I combine this data with … dividend forecasts from equity research analysts to construct a model-free measure of short-term equity risk premia. I provide … the first description of the cross-section of risk premia on short-maturity dividend claims. My data on risk premia for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043334
the sum of the dividend yield on stocks plus some weighted average of expected future growth rates in dividends. We … construct a measure of stock yield as a model-imposed affine combination of dividend yield and an expected dividend growth proxy …-of-sample R-squared that is consistently above 2% at monthly frequency over our sample period. When both dividend yield and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044870