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The aim of this paper is to present the method for estimating the cost of capital of typical portfolios available on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. The authors introduce the three factor Fama-French model and its two modifications. They also apply the bootstrap method to evaluate the variability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012183556
Current factor models do not identify risks that matter to investors. To address this issue, we provide a factor model implementation of the ICAPM, which captures market risk and intertemporal risk (i.e., changes in long-term expected returns and volatility). We build our intertemporal risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824154
We test the relevance of technical and fundamental variables in forming currency portfolios. Carry, momentum and reversal all contribute to portfolio performance, whereas the real exchange rate and the current account do not. The resulting optimal portfolio outperforms the carry trade and other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008155
A long criticism on the usefulness of the traditional CAPM model has been raised in the vast literature of arbitrage pricing models that propose several risk factors on firm fundamentals or investigate the stochastic properties of stock returns' distributions, (Fama and French (2004)). However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034028
This appendix to 'Beyond the Carry Trade: Optimal Currency Portfolios' presents supplementary results not included in the paper.The paper may be found here: 'http://ssrn.com/abstract=2041460' http://ssrn.com/abstract=2041460
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993455
We show analytically under quite general conditions that implied rates of return based on analysts' earnings forecasts are only a downward biased estimator for future expected one-period returns and therefore not suited for computing market risk premia. The extent of this bias is substantial as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487229
The most relevant practical impediment to an application of the Markowitz portfolio selection approach is the problem of estimating return moments, in particular return expectations. We analyze the consequences of using return estimates implied by analysts' dividend forecasts under the explicit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487262
Many asset pricing theories treat the cross-section of returns volatility and correlations as two intimately related quantities driven by common factors, which hinders achieving a neat definition of a correlation premium. We formulate a model without factors, but with a continuum of securities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421289
We study minute-by-minute behavior of the VIX index and trading activity in the underlying S&P 500 options to understand the impact of macro and microeconomic forces on risk neutral volatility. VIX often increases with macroeconomic news, reflects the credibility of Fed monetary stimulus, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065496
This research presents evidence for the existence of differences in asset beta risk in the liquidity cross-section of assets due to correlated trading. It is argued that due to differences in liquidity or cost, most trading activity is concentrated on the subset of liquid assets. In the presence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090386