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boom yields consistently positive excess returns. This excess return compensates for the risk of high negative returns in … countries on risk aversion, and low (high) risk aversion currencies depreciate (appreciate) in times of global turmoil. …
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Dollar carry trade risk premiums – unlike dollar-neutral or foreign exchange carry risk premiums – are positively … the entire premium, based on these proxies for the latent risk and price of risk states in the U.S. (and its business …
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Dollar carry trade risk premiums - unlike dollar-neutral or foreign exchange carry risk premiums - are positively … (typically based on untestable claims) in which the variables above are proxies for the latent (quantity of) risk and price of … risk states - and the business cycle - in the U.S. explains the results in the present paper. However, I avoid making this …
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We propose an easy-to-implement conditional currency carry trade (CT) strategy that excludes regimes for which UIP is likely to hold, namely when interest rate differentials (IRDs) are very large during high foreign exchange (FX) volatility regimes. We find that conditioning a CT strategy on...
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