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The purpose of this paper is to examine whether earnings quality contributes to the book-to- market's predictive power in the cross section of stock returns. Earnings quality is embedded in the value-growth effect given that retained earnings is a key part of the book value of equity. Earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861412
in the next quarter. Our oil-response forecast strategy earns especially high returns in periods that follow large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852476
We develop a simple error-correction model, based on a well known theory espoused by Benjamin Graham and David Dodd, and others, which presumes stock returns tend to restore an equilibrium relationship between the forecasted earnings yield on common stocks and the yield on bonds. The estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014169089
forecasts by 25.3%. This study may be the first of its kind to assess analyst earnings forecast accuracy at all listed companies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959862
We reexamine the time-series properties and determinants of the relation between aggregate earnings and returns (earnings response coefficient, ERC) employing return decompositions with longer historical data. We find that aggregate ERC is time-varying, above and beyond the evidence documented...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109120
In this paper, I empirically test the conservatism effect of Barberis, Shleifer and Vishny (1998). Conditioning on a shock to quarterly earnings, firms ranking in the top (bottom) earnings shock quintile exhibit substantial price momentum over the next three-month periods following the initial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068900
We provide strong support for the underappreciated expected earnings hypothesis of negative correlation between aggregate stock returns and earnings (Sadka and Sadka (2009); Choi, Kalay, and Sadka (2016)). For the 1970 to 2000 period studied by Kothari, Lewellen, and Warner (2006), our powerful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896619
We provide evidence that an option implied volatility-based measure predicts future absolute excess returns of the underlying stock around earnings announcements and annual meetings of shareholders, even after controlling for the realized stock return volatility shortly before these information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046741
Which trading strategies differentiate skilled mutual fund managers from their unsuccessful peers? This study provides evidence for a positive association between holdings' implied cost of capital (ICC) and future fund performance. Consistent with large transaction costs of ICC-based investments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840019
This study provides evidence for a positive association between mutual fund holdings’implied cost of capital (ICC) and future performance. Consistent with large transactioncosts of ICC-based investments impeding their exploitation and employing a ICC-basedstrategy reflecting skill,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012387256