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Cohort effects are important factors in determining the evolution of human mortality for certain countries. Extensions … of dynamic mortality models with cohort features have been proposed in the literature to account for these factors under … the generalised linear modelling framework. In this paper we approach the problem of mortality modelling with cohort …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902374
Cohort effects are important factors in determining the evolution of human mortality for certain countries. Extensions … of dynamic mortality models with cohort features have been proposed in the literature to account for these factors under … the generalised linear modelling framework. In this paper we approach the problem of mortality modelling with cohort …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899554
Well known CPI of urban consumers is never revised. Recently initiated chained CPI is initially released every month (ICPI), for that month without delay within BLS and for the previous month with one month delay to the public. Final estimates of chained CPI (FCPI) are released every February...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474973
Mortality is different across countries, states and regions. Several empirical research works however reveal that … mortality trends exhibit a common pattern and show similar structures across populations. The key element in analyzing mortality … the empirical findings, we make the study of estimating and forecasting mortality rates based on a semi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489251
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011820669
A novel dynamic asset-allocation approach is proposed where portfolios as well as portfolio strategies are updated at every decision period based on their past performance. For modeling, a general class of models is specified that combines a dynamic factor and a vector autoregressive model and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563065
We introduce a new class of models that has both stochastic volatility and moving average errors, where the conditional mean has a state space representation. Having a moving average component, however, means that the errors in the measurement equation are no longer serially independent, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080937
We extend the literature on economic forecasting by constructing a mixed-frequency time-varying parameter vector autoregression with stochastic volatility (MF-TVP-SVVAR). The latter is able to cope with structural changes and can handle indicators sampled at different frequencies. We conduct a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011962204
This paper provides a detailed assessment of the real-time forecast accuracy of a wide range of vector autoregressive models (VAR) that allow for both structural change and indicators sampled at different frequencies. We extend the literature by evaluating a mixed-frequency time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154665
We introduce a high-dimensional structural time series model, where co-movement between the components is due to common factors. A two-step estimation strategy is presented, which is based on principal components in differences in a first step and state space methods in a second step. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309972