We find that a composite implied cost of capital (ICC) estimate - based on the earnings forecasts generated by cross-sectional models is highly correlated with future realised returns in both portfolio- and regression-based tests. By contrast, we find very little evidence for an association with...

Empirical analysis of financial data such as the daily, weekly or monthly prices of assets such as bonds, stocks, currencies and commodities have shown that asset prices approximately follow a martingale process, but the distribution of asset returns tend to be fat-tailed. This paper examines...

I examine the ability of equity market illiquidity to predict Australian macroeconomic variables, between 1976 and 2010. In contrast to existing, U.S.-based, studies, I find that stock market illiquidity does not, on average, have much predictive power over economic growth. Consistent with the...

We investigate the impact of financial news on equity returns and introduce a non-parametric model to generate a sentiment signal, which is then used as a predictor for short-term, single-stock equity return forecasts.We build on Google's BERT model (for Bidirectional Encoder Representations for...

Seasonality has long been documented in the context of equity market returns, but only recently has been tested for in the residential real estate market. This paper argues, in line with the previous research in this area, that no month should, on average, demonstrate superior (or inferior)...

This paper examines the relation between acquirer (abnormal) returns and governance characteristics of the board of directors of the acquiring firm. The central question is: Are higher (acquirer) abnormal returns associated with ‘better' board governance, having controlled for other factors...

Theoretical models of trade (Dontoh and Ronen, 1993; Holthausen and Verrecchia, 1990; Karpoff, 1986; Kim and Verrecchia, 1997; and Varian, 1989) show that information-based trading is a consequence of four fundamental determinants: heterogeneous prior beliefs, differential interpretations, the consensus effect,...

Frazzini and Pedersen (2014) [Betting against beta. Journal of Financial Economics, 111(1), 1-25] report an insignificant performance for the betting against beta (BAB) strategy in the Australian equity market, suggesting that the beta anomaly does not exist in this market. We extend their...