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The equity term structure is downward sloping at long maturities. I show, through an ICAPM estimation, that the … tradeoff between market and reinvestment risk explains this pattern. Intuitively, while long-term dividend claims are highly … exposed to market risk, they are also good hedges for reinvestment risk because dividend prices rise as expected returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963382
Many leading asset pricing models are specified so that the term structure of dividend volatility is either flat or … upward sloping. Related, these models predict that the term structures of expected returns and volatilities on dividend … suggests otherwise. This discrepancy can be reconciled if these models replace their proposed dividend dynamics with processes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066374
equilibrium model with rare disasters followed by recoveries helps reconcile theory with empirical observations. Indeed …-sloping term structures of dividend growth risk, equity return volatility, and equity risk premia. In addition, the term structure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835342
We present an arbitrage-free affine term structure model that jointly prices U.S. Treasury bonds, S&P 500 dividend … accurate decompositions of discount rates into risk free rates, inter est rate and dividend risk premiums. Our model is able to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869632
This study investigates the dynamic response of credit spread (CS) to S&P 500 dividend yield (DY) shock. Based on the … following shock to the S&P 500 dividend yield. The results also show that there is a significant causal linkage between CS and … DY. The variance decomposition results indicate that S&P 500 dividend yield forecasts about 2.72%, 5.00% and 7.12% of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075051
-diversified equity portfolio. We do not use any dividend strips data in the estimation of the model; however, model-implied equity yields … their dynamics. Using the model, we price dividend strips of the aggregate market index, as well as any other well … generated by the model match closely the equity yields from the traded dividend forwards reported in the literature. Our model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250137
-diversified equity portfolio. We do not use any dividend strips data in the estimation of the model; however, model-implied equity yields … their dynamics. Using the model, we price dividend strips of the aggregate market index, as well as any other well … generated by the model match closely the equity yields from the traded dividend forwards reported in the literature. Our model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842164
Leading asset pricing models are inconsistent with the recent empirical evidence documenting downward sloping term structures of equity risk and premia. This paper shows that a simple general equilibrium model can accommodate such stylized facts as long as dividends endogenously obtain from a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074946
the basic CAPM formulations. The empirical results indicates that while stock returns do not predict future consumption … decisions well, both Treasury Bill rates and dividend yield performed well in predicting consumption behaviour. For the … entire market. Betas for Treasury bill rates and dividend yields however suggest that the assets form strong basis for both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843526
I study a novel data set of short-term dividend futures contracts for individual stocks. I combine this data with … dividend forecasts from equity research analysts to construct a model-free measure of short-term equity risk premia. I provide … the first description of the cross-section of risk premia on short-maturity dividend claims. My data on risk premia for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043334