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What option prices tell us about the ECB's unconventional monetary policies
Olijslagers, Stan; Petersen, Annelie; Vette, Nander de; … - 2018
We use a series of different approaches to extract information about crash risk from option prices for the Euro-Dollar exchange rate, with each step sharpening the focus on extracting more specific measures of crash risk around dates of ECB measures of Unconventional Monetary Policy. Several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940034
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Predicting Inflation : Portfolio Erosion or Collapse?
Crawford, George - 2012
What is the probability of high inflation; how high, when? These questions are important to all investors since even … characterizes this as The War On Savers. Higher inflation is possible, at 4% or more, with even worse effects. There are heated … debates about the probability and timing of high inflation, but our review of the extensive literature reveals no reliable way …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099903
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Numerics of implied binomial trees
Härdle, Wolfgang (contributor);  … - 2008
Market option prices in last 20 years confirmed deviations from the Black and Scholes (BS) models assumptions, especially on the BS implied volatility. Implied binomial trees (IBT) models capture the variations of the implied volatility known as "volatility smile". They provide a discrete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003727608
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Realizing smiles: pricing options with realized volatility
Corsi, Fulvio; Fusari, Nicola; Vecchia, Davide la - 2010
We develop a discrete-time stochastic volatility option pricing model, which exploits the information contained in high-frequency data. The Realized Volatility (RV) is used as a proxy of the unobservable log-returns volatility. We model its dynamics by a simple but effective (pseudo) long memory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973052
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Option calibration of exponential Lévy models : implementation and empirical results
Söhl, Jakob; Trabs, Mathias - 2012
Observing prices of European put and call options, we calibrate exponential Lévy models nonparametrically. We discuss the implementation of the spectral estimation procedures for Lévy models of finite jump activity as well as for self-decomposable Lévy models and improve these methods....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009502936
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Large-scale empirical tests of the Markov Tree model
Bhat, Harish S.; Kumar, Nitesh - In: International Journal of Financial Studies : open … 3 (2015) 3, pp. 280-318
The Markov Tree model is a discrete-time option pricing model that accounts for short-term memory of the underlying asset. In this work, we compare the empirical performance of the Markov Tree model against that of the Black-Scholes model and Heston's stochastic volatility model. Leveraging a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312214
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Pricing and hedging guaranteed annuity options via static option replication
Pelsser, Antoon André Jean - 2002 - This version: 12-Mar-2002 13:27
In this paper we derive a market value for Guaranteed Annuity Optionusing martingale modeling techniques. Furthermore, we show how to construct a static replicating portfolio of vanillainterest rate swaptions that replicates the Guaranteed Annuity Option. Finally, we illustrate with historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326973
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Over-allotment options in IPOs on Germany's Neuer Markt : an empirical investigation
Franzke, Stefanie A.; Schlag, Christian - 2003 - This version: September 28, 2003
Over-allotment arrangements are nowadays part of almost any initial public offering. The underwriting banks borrow stocks from the previous shareholders to issue more than the initially announced number of shares. This is combined with the option to cover this short position at the issue price....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767115
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The economic value of realized volatility : using high-frequency returns for option valuation
Christoffersen, Peter F.; Feunou, Bruno; Jacobs, Kris; … - 2012
Many studies have documented that daily realized volatility estimates based on intraday returns provide volatility forecasts that are superior to forecasts constructed from daily returns only. We investigate whether these forecasting improvements translate into economic value added. To do so we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627514
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Sentiment lost : the effect of projecting the empirical pricing kernel onto a smaller filtration set
Sala, Carlo; Barone-Adesi, Giovanni - 2015
Supported by empirical examples, this paper provides a theoretical analysis on the impacts of using a suboptimal information set for the estimation of the empirical pricing kernel and, more in general, for the validity of the fundamental theorems of asset pricing. While inferring the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506352