This paper deals with the modeling of the relationship of European Union Allowance spot- and futures-prices within the second commitment period of the European Union Emission Trading Scheme. Based on high frequency data, we analyze causality in the first and the second conditional moments. To...

Using futures data for the period 1990 - 2008, this paper finds evidence that expansionary monetary policy surprises tend to increase crude and heating oil prices, and contractionary monetary policy shocks increase gold and platinum prices. Our analysis uncovers substantial heterogeneity in the...

Using a vector error correction model I test whether shocks in the funding liquidity conditions in the U.S. and Europe separately explain deviations from the covered interest parity (CIP) between the U.S. Dollar and the Mexican Peso. I find that: (1) Apparent deviations from the CIP seem to be...

In this study, we investigate the existence of long-term co-movements among the prices of commodity futures contracts. We use a cointegration test, which accounts for the presence of a structural break. We show that while there is a long-term relationship among agricultural and among...

This paper examines how liquidity in two actively traded futures markets was affected by the recent financial crisis. Changes to trading volumes, spreads, the level and shape of order books, and the price impact of a trade document a tremendous withdrawal of liquidity from Eurodollar futures...

This paper proposes that, and explains why, hedge profits and regression approach hedge ratios should be calculated using cost-of-carry-adjusted price changes. This Modified Regression Method for determining hedge ratios is denoted MRM. The paper discusses the Error-Correction Model for hedge...

This empirical study examines the short-term dynamic lead-lag relationship between five-year Chinese government bond futures index and its underlying spot index, using daily data from September 06, 2013 to August 31, 2016. We carry out unit root test, Johansen-Juselius cointegration test,...

We derive the theoretical relation between the term structure of implied variance and the expected excess returns of the underlying asset. Adopting three alternative approaches to compile the variables representing the information on the implied volatility index level and term structure, we show...

The spread risk premium component of credit default swap (CDS) spreads represents a compensation demanded by protection sellers for future changes in CDS spreads caused by unpredictable fluctuations in the reference entity's risk-neutral default intensity. This paper defines and estimates a...

Many trends in the world wheat market might explain the extreme price movements on the U.S. wheat futures markets in 2007/08 and 2010. But the different price reactions on the three wheat futures markets raise doubt if only supply and demand moved wheat future prices. The question arises if the...