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The aim of this study is to examine whether securitized real estate returns reflect direct real estate returns or general stock market returns using international data for the U.S., U.K., and Australia. In contrast to previous research, which has generally relied on overall real estate market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009558452
Recent research shows that small trade imbalances are negatively associated with future stock returns. I find that this negative association only exists when stocks have initially been mispriced. In addition, mispricing occurs before the sentimental trading of small investors. In stocks with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064609
The efficient market hypothesis describes an efficient market as one in which investors cannot consistently predict stock returns because prices instantly reflect all the information flowing into the market. However, return predictability has been documented in many markets. This study tests the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179575
We provide a psychological explanation for the delayed price response to news about economically linked firms. We show that the return predictability of economically linked firms depends on the nearness to the 52-week high stock price. The interaction between news about economically linked firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852966
This paper provides evidence that the market does not efficiently incorporate expected returns implied by analyst price targets into prices. I use a novel decomposition to extract information and bias components from these analyst-expected returns and develop an asset pricing framework that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891666
We use a dataset of sell-side analysts' scenario-based equity valuation estimates to examine whether analysts can assess the state-contingent risk surrounding a firm's fundamental value. We find that the spread in analysts' scenario-based valuations captures the riskiness of operations and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864659
Volatility is an important component of asset pricing; an increase in volatility on markets can trigger changes in the risk distribution of financial assets. In conventional financial theory, investors are considered to be rational and any changes in relevant risk are assumed to be a result of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023919
across several estimation methods. Panel Granger causality test results indicate that there indeed is a Granger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012242861
The half-life is used to estimate the adjustment speed of a variable to a new equilibrium point after being affected by the impulse response of a unit of shocks. The paper examines the adjustment speed of COVID19, investor sentiment, and the stock market through half-life estimates over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014439454
Ungeheuer and Weber (2021, UW) propose a Comove measure, the fraction of weekly stock returns that are in the same direction as the market, and document that Comove positively predicts cross-sectional stock returns. We show that Comove is strongly negatively correlated with idiosyncratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321776