We study the impact of income disaster-which can be triggered by various reasons such as pandemics and technological disruption-on Friedman's permanent income hypothesis. Although the hypothesis is still retained, our general equilibrium model offers two insights. First, with income disaster the...

This paper examines whether the successful bid rate of the OnBid public auction, published by Korea Asset Management Corporation, can identify and forecast the Korea business-cycle expansion and contraction regimes characterized by the OECD reference turning points. We use logistic regression...