treatment of globalization can help. CPI inflation has become more synchronized around the world since the 2008 crisis, but core … and wage inflation have become less synchronized. Global factors (including commodity prices, world slack, exchange rates … role for all the inflation measures, although globalization has caused some “flattening” of this relationship, especially …

identified two groups of upper regime and lower regime world variables-namely, world inflation, world GDP, and world commodity … studied. This research aims to investigate the interdependent relationships between world GDP, world commodity prices, world … inflation, trade flows, capital inflow, capital account transactions, reserve accumulation, global liquidity (e.g., global broad …

This paper examines the global drivers of inflation in 55 countries over the 1970-2022 period. We estimate a Factor … domestic shocks. We report three main results. First, global shocks have explained about 26 percent of inflation variation in a … typical economy. Oil price shocks accounted for only about 4 percent of inflation variation, but they had a statistically …

useful information about variables such as commodity prices which matter for aggregate demand and thus inflation. Given this … worldwide level of interest rates received in the recent debate about the world savings and liquidity glut as one of the main …

This paper seeks to document and explain the effect of a commodity price shock on underlying core inflation, and how … across many countries there was a break in the response of core inflation to a commodity price shock. In an earlier period, a … shock to commodity prices would lead to a large and significant increase in core inflation, but in later periods, the effect …

A regime shift towards increased inflation expectations is credited with jumpstarting the recovery from the Great … Depression in the United States. Germany experienced a recovery as fast and strong in the 1930s. What role did inflation … expectations play at the start of this remarkable economic upturn? To answer this question, we study inflation expectations in …

that the oil price passes through core inflation only via its effect on the whole economy. This pass-through is estimated …

are consistent with the behavior of inflation. We label these deviations the output gap. In order to pin-down the features … of the model, we evaluate the accuracy of real-time inflation forecasts from different model specifications. The version … that forecasts inflation best implies that after the 2011 sovereign debt crisis the output gap in the euro area has been …

demand and supply shocks. The results show that higher macroeconomic uncertainty, as measured by higher world industrial …