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return. This approach yields a model-free test for stock return asymmetry, generalizing the correlation-based test proposed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856552
Estimation of the covariance matrix of asset returns is crucial to portfolio construction. As suggested by economic … theories, the correlation structure among assets differs between emerging markets and developed countries. It is therefore … imperative to make rigorous statistical inference on correlation matrix equality between the two groups of countries. However, if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314503
This study shows how correlated information consumption (CIC) of retail investors relates to comovement in stock market outcomes. We construct clusters of stocks with CIC by employing network analysis on Google co-search data. We predict significant comovement in returns and liquidity of stocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334839
version of the Gaussian dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model proposed by Engle (2002), and show that the t-DCC model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868
Understanding sectoral dynamic dependence across equity indexes is crucial for investment decisions and designing economic policy. This study examines the sectoral dependence among 82 Pakistani companies using a vine copula approach and daily data from July 1, 2014, to December 17, 2019. Vine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014307493
Addressing the view that recent hikes in the commodity-equity correlation will only be temporary, this paper … commodity-equity correlation, and it does so to indices from 45 equity markets. Of them, 32 demonstrate an upward long-run trend … in their correlations with the commodity futures market throughout the last decade, and 43 have had their correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110172
version of the Gaussian dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model proposed by Engle (2002), and show that the t-DCC model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094817
current correlation being the best single predictor of the future stock market correlation (2) positive impact of the market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013380503
This study predicts stock market volatility and applies them to the standard problem in finance, namely, asset allocation. Based on machine learning and model averaging approaches, we integrate the drivers’ predictive information to forecast market volatilities. Using various evaluation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404229
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098