This paper employs a Zero Lower Bound (ZLB) consistent shadow-rate model to decompose UK nominal yields into expectation and term premia components. Compared to a standard affine term structure model, it performs relatively better in a ZLB setting and effectively captures the countercyclical...

In this paper we question the ability of New Keynesian models to reproduce the behavior of the nominal interest rate. In particular, we wonder if the model is able to reproduce infrequent but long ZLB spells as observed in the data. Starting from the canonical model, we compare alternative...

The interaction of macroeconomic variables may change as the nominal shortterm interest rates approaches zero. In this paper, we propose an empirical model capturing these changing dynamics with a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive process. State-dependent parameters are determined by...