Die Dynamik des Wohnimmobilienmarktes wird insbesondere durch die Veränderung der Einkommen junger Haushalte bestimmt. Zu diesem Ergebnis kommt eine neue Studie des ifo Instituts über "Fluktuationen des Wohnimmobilienmarktes", in der ein für die USA und Großbritannien entwickelter...

The renewed momentum in the German housing market has led to concerns that Germany is vulnerable to asset price shocks. In this paper, we apply recently developed recursive unit root tests to detect the beginning and the end of potential speculative bubbles in Germany over the sample period...

This paper employs panel data on 413 counties and cities over 2004-2009 to investigate the local supply of new single-family housing in Germany. Construction activity in local housing markets (measured by new housing permits related to the local housing stock) is modeled as a function of local...

In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 145 indicators and ten types of forecast combination schemes to predict housing prices and rents in 71 German cities. We are interested in whether local business confidence indicators facilitate substantial improvements of the forecasts,...