This paper analyzes the volatility structure of the commodity derivatives markets. The model encompasses stochastic volatility that may be unspanned by the futures contracts. A generalized hump-shaped volatility specification is assumed that entails a finite-dimensional affine model for the...

Since 2008, the usually negative crude oil futures spread has been positive for extended periods, raising doubts about conventional explanations. We re-examine the dynamics of the futures spread using monthly VARs on the CME WTI oil futures spread, OECD and U.S. oil and petroleum inventories and...

We challenge the narrative that climate change transition risk is not being priced into sovereign bond markets. Climate change transition risk, as measured by carbon dioxide emissions, natural resources rents and renewable energy consumption, are factored into sovereign bond yields (and spreads)...

To assess the economic determinants of oil futures volatility, we firstly develop and estimate a multi-factor oil futures pricing model with stochastic volatility that is able to disentangle long-term, medium-term and short-term variations in commodity markets volatility. The volatility...