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This study examines whether and how important it is to adjust output gap frameworks during the COVID-19 pandemic and similar unprecedentedly large-scale episodes. Our proposed modelling framework comprises a Bayesian Structural Vector Autoregresion with an identification setup based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014232751
The UK has experienced a dramatic increase in earnings and income inequality over the past four decades. We use detailed micro level information to construct historical measures of inequality from 1968 to 2008. We study whether monetary policy shocks played a significant role in explaining this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010480347
Europe: Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary and Romania. The estimation process is informed by empirical evidence about a rapid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014529362
We construct new indicators of the imbalance between demand and supply for the Canadian economy by using natural language processing techniques to analyze earnings calls of publicly listed firms. The results show that the text-based indicators are highly correlated with official inflation data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014303896
Hours per capita measures based on the private sector as usually included in the set of observables for estimating macroeconomic models are affected by low-frequent demographic trends and sectoral shifts that cannot be explained by standard models. Further, model-based output gap estimates are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434261
The UK has experienced a dramatic increase in earnings and income inequality over the past four decades. We use detailed micro level information to construct quarterly historical measures of inequality from 1969 to 2012. We investigate whether monetary policy shocks played a role in explaining...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431334
This paper extends the standard New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to agents who cannot smooth consumption (i.e. spenders) and are affected by external consumption habits. Although these assumptions are not new, their joint consideration strongly affects some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343913
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010258938
This paper shows that increased volatility of Örm-level productivity can push the nominal interest rate to its lower bound with large amplification effects on macroeconomic aggregates. The framework combines a simple canonical Önancial accelerator model, time varying risk shocks, and a zero...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012231163
During the Great Recession of 2007, unemployment reached nearly 10 percent and the ratio of unemployment to open … extension in the length of time in which a claimant can collect unemployment insurance (UI) to 99 weeks, at an expense to date … search process. Parameter estimates of the structural model using a sample of unemployment spells from the National …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010403637