Central bank credibility is critical for the effectiveness of monetary policy. The measures of credibility that are … alternative measure that allows us to track the evolution of credibility in an inflationary environment. Credibility is defined as … decisions. We adopt a Bayesian set up to exploit this definition and document how credibility changes over time. Our measure …

bank credibility. Forward guidance and the credibility of the central bank are uniquely modeled by utilizing a game …-theoretic evolutionary framework. We estimate credibility for the U.S. Federal Reserve with Bayesian methods exploiting survey data on … estimate of Federal Reserve credibility in terms of forward guidance announcements is relatively high, which indicates a degree …

bank credibility. Forward guidance and the credibility of the central bank are uniquely modeled by utilizing a game …-theoretic evolutionary framework. We estimate credibility for the U.S. Federal Reserve with Bayesian methods exploiting survey data on … estimate of Federal Reserve credibility in terms of forward guidance announcements is relatively high, which indicates a degree …

to output. This incentive leads to higher than desired inflation. One solution to this credibility problem is to give … independence thus reduces society's credibility problem but this may be at the expense of less flexible countercyclical monetary … policy. The aim of this paper is to find the correct balance between credibility and flexibility, ie the optimal degree of …