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unemployment in the future that lowers expected future income, they will save more today. In this paper, we test this hypothesis by … looking at the expenditure response of workers to the change in unemployment risk measured at the occupational level. We find … that occupational unemployment risk does not have a large impact on consumption expenditure. However, despite investigating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256388
how easier home financing and higher homeownership rates increase unemployment rates. To this purpose we build a model of … decline while job loss rates increase, causing the overall unemployment rate to rise. We estimate this model structurally … requirements, increase unemployment rates by 6 percent points. We also find that declining labor demand decreases homeownership …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222189
By how much do employed households reduce their consumption when the aggregate unemployment rate rises? In Spain during … the Great Recession a 1 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate was related to a strong drop in household … of their expectations on future income growth rates: the shadow of unemployment. Using consumption panel data that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014037118
In this paper, we utilise data from a German population survey to test the validity of the Ricardian equivalence theorem (RET). In 2013, 2,000 representatively chosen people were asked whether they have altered their consumption and saving behaviour in response to the significant increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011433976
In this paper, we utilise data from a German population survey to test the validity of the Ricardian equivalence theorem (RET). In 2013, 2,000 representatively chosen people were asked whether they have altered their consumption and saving behaviour in response to the significant increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011574144
This paper investigates the impact of fiscal policy on private consumption and labor supply in the UK economy using time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) with stochastic volatility for the period Q2 1987 to Q2 2017. It considers fiscal variables such as government expenditure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012021597
The consumption of households with liquid financial assets responds much more to transitory income shocks than the permanent-income hypothesis predicts. That is, middle class households with assets act as if they face liquidity constraints. This paper addresses this puzzling observation with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003914669
literature. Our findings can also be interpreted in the context of the secular decline in the US personal savings rate before the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009306633
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720736
We revisit the alleged retirement consumption puzzle. According to the life-cycle theory, foreseeable income reductions such as those around retirement should not affect consumption. However, we first recall that given higher leisure endowments after retirement, the theory does predict a fall of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011455042