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An n-variable structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) can be identified (up to shock order) from the evolution of the … process. I propose a new identification argument that identifies the SVAR up to shock orderings using the autocovariance … structure of second moments of the residuals implied by an arbitrary stochastic process for the shock variances. These higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011926201
Euro Area economies to a one percent shock in government consumption and business confidence. The evidence suggests that … even though the response to a government consumption shock is strong, a shock in expectations has an even greater effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011760247
factorization of innovations. Impulse-response functions aiming to estimate the response of government expenditures to the shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256485
on output and unemployment. While the impulse response of real GDP to a government spending shock is positive and more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491745
This paper provides new evidence on the effects of government spending shocks and the fiscal transmission mechanism in the euro area for the period 1980-2008. Our contribution is two-fold. First, we investigate changes in the macroeconomic impact of government spending shocks using time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380027
We analyse the impact of government spending shocks on the real effective exchange rate and net exports in the Euro Area within a standard structural VAR framework. We employ a new database that contains quarterly fiscal variables for the Euro Area as a whole. We show that higher government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104289
This paper documents time variation in domestic fiscal policy multipliers in Germany, the UK and the US, and in cross-border fiscal spillovers from Germany to the seven largest European Union economies. We propose two VAR models which incorporate three quot;global factorsquot; representing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012730000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991162
What do we know about the output effects of fiscal policy in low income countries (LICs)? There are very few empirical studies on the subject. This paper fills this gap by estimating the output effects of government spending shocks in LICs. Our analysis-based on the local projection method-finds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831612
on output and unemployment. While the impulse response of real GDP to a government spending shock is positive and more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043360