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It is an undisputed fact that weather risk increases over time due to climate change. However, qualification of this … statement with regard to the type of weather risk and geographical location is needed. We investigate the application of novel … statistical tools for assessing changes in weather risk over time. We apply local t-test, change point tests and Mann-Kendall test …
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In this paper, an Unobserved Components Model is employed to decompose German real GDP into the trend, cycle and seasonal components and the working day effect. The most important findings are: 1) The growth rate of potential output declined from 4.2 per cent in the sixties to 1.4 per cent at...
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