This study examines the predictive power of implied volatility smirk to forecast foreign exchange (FX) return. The volatility smirk contains critical information, especially when the market experiences negative news. The Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, Swiss franc, Euro, and British pound...

Due to the mispricing of options, no-arbitrage condition put-call parity (PCP) violations lead to inefficiency in the currency options market. Through transaction costs, the effects of these violations are reduced to negligible levels, indicating that PCP is not a sufficient condition for an...