The empirical study undertaken here employs a structural VAR to estimate the dynamic adjustment of manufacturing sales and inventories to both nominal demand and real supply shocks. The analysis suggests that these impulse responses are generally consistent with those of an equilibrium model of...

Combining granular daily data on temperatures across the continental U.S. with detailed establishment data from 1990 to 2015, we study the causal impact of temperature shocks on establishment sales and productivity. Using a large sample yielding precise estimates, we find no evidence that...

Failure to attribute retail sales variation to weather shocks can result in biased demand forecasts, misinterpretation of nancial indicators, and undue volatility in commission-based pay. I estimate retail sales responses to weather shocks using proprietary national daily store-level apparel and...

We study the impact of nationalism and interstate frictions on international economic relations by analyzing market reaction to adverse shocks to Sino-Japanese relations in 2005 and 2010. Japanese companies with high China exposure suffer relative declines during each event window; a symmetric...

We study the impact of nationalism and interstate frictions on international economic relations by analyzing market reaction to adverse shocks to Sino-Japanese relations in 2005 and 2010. Japanese companies with high China exposure suffer relative declines during each event window; a symmetric...