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notably with the pandemic. In a VAR, allowing the errors to have a distribution with fatter tails than the Gaussian one equips … the model to better deal with the COVID-19 shock. A standard Gaussian VAR can still be used for producing conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519429
The role that the price of oil plays in economic analysis in central banks as well as in financial markets has evolved over time. Oil is not seen anymore just as a input to production but also as a barometer of global economic activity as well as a financial asset. A high frequency structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299083
empirical relationship between US monetary policy and commodity prices by means of a standard VAR system, commonly used in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605278
Time-varying exchange rate pass-through effects to domestic prices under fixed euro exchange rate perspective represent one of the most challenging implications of the common currency. The problem is even more crucial when examining crisis related redistributive effects associated with relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456836
This study analyzes the impact of supply and demand shocks on income and price inequality in the economy using data from Korea. First, supply and demand shocks are identified from output and price data in Korea using the methods found in Blanchard and Quah (1989) and Bashar (2011). In addition,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198179
for economic analysis. This paper demonstrates how a VAR model with long run restrictions justified by economic theory can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584357
two latent factors and some key macro variables that follow a VAR(1) process. The structural macroeconomic shocks are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322460
This paper analyses the response of inflation in the euro area to five macroeconomic shocks through the use of results derived from Eurosystem large-scale macroeconomic models. The main finding is that only a fiscal shock, and to a lesser extent a TFP shock, generate marked inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604567
This paper uses a panel VAR (PVAR) approach to estimating, analysing and forecasting price dynamics in four different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411883
We investigate whether fluctuations in U.S. inflation rates are better described by infrequently occurring large shocks or by frequently occurring small shocks. We estimate a model that encompasses the two hypotheses within the framework of non-Gaussian state-space models. Our results indicate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119276