the impact of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics. Using a vector autoregression approach, we show that … uncertainty shocks measured by stock market volatility have a significant impact on the U.S. unemployment rate. We then develop a …

the impact of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics. Using a vector autoregression approach, we show that … uncertainty shocks measured by stock market volatility have a significant impact on the U.S. unemployment rate. We then develop a …

This paper shows how uninsurable unemployment risk is crucial to qualitatively and quantitatively match macro responses … behaviors, triggering a fall in aggregate demand and supply. These precautionary behaviors increase the unemployment risk of the … imperfectly insured households, who strengthen precautionary saving. When the feedback loop between unemployment risk and …

We ask whether sectoral shocks and the subsequent labor reallocation are responsible for unemployment within selected … is linked to unemployment in country specific dynamic models. For Spain, the ADL-model estimation reveals a significant … impact of sectoral reallocation on unemployment that goes beyond usual business cycle patterns. In Italy, there is weaker yet …

This paper examines the movements in EU unemployment from two perspectives: (a) the NRU/NAIRU perspective, in which … unemployment movements are attributed largely to changes in the long-run equilibrium unemployment rate and (b) the chain …-reaction perspective, in which unemployment movements are viewed as the outcome of the interplay between labor market shocks and prolonged …

Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country and year fixed effects are added to … panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries collected … just over 10000 observations, we predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead. We do so using individuals …

the hypothesis that a rigid wage structure has been responsible for rising low-skilled unemployment, I propose a …

Rising wage inequality in the U.S. and Britain (especially in the 1980s) and rising continental European unemployment … large data sets from the U.S., Britain, and western Germany to test the Krugman hypothesis for the 1990s, when unemployment …