Central banks in most advanced economies have reacted similarly to the increase in inflation that started in 2021. They … initially looked through the rising inflation by leaving monetary policy relatively unchanged. Then, after inflation continued … aiming to anchor drifting inflation expectations. Why might central banks want to look through supply-driven inflation …

This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …

since the early 1990s for a group of 9 economies, 5 of which explicitly target inflation, and ask: To what extent are … disagreements over forecasts of inflation driven by movements in relative prices? The empirical evidence leads to the following … conclusions. First, there is little doubt that IT has contributed to narrowing the forecast differences vis-a-vis U.S. inflation …

Our current inflation stemmed from a fiscal shock. The Fed is slow to react. Why? Will the Fed's slow reaction spur … more inflation? I write a simple model that encompasses the Fed's mild projections and its slow reaction, and traditional … views that inflation will surge without swift rate rises. The key question is whether expectations are forward looking or …

. Second, since Moroccan authorities prepare its transition to an inflation targeting strategy, the functioning of the interest …

In this paper, we examine how economic shocks affect the distribution of household inflation expectations. We show that … the dynamics of households' expected inflation distributions are driven by three distinctive functional shocks, which … influence the expected inflation distribution through disagreement, level shift and ambiguity. Linking these functional shocks …

inflation in the expected directions. Analysis of available policy records suggests that a contractionary monetary shock likely … impacts on real GDP and inflation in 2023 and 2024 …